National Division · Regular Season - 9
US RumelangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: match review and analysis
US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bains in National Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
US Rumelange recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 26. US Mondorf-les-bains recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 27 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | US Rumelange | US Mondorf-les-bains |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
US Rumelange: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
US Mondorf-les-bains: (3.26 weighted goals scored + 2.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
US Rumelange recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratzerthal-RedangeCup | Away | 9–1 | Won | |
| UNA StrassenNational Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atert BissenNational Division | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Progres NiederkornNational Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AS Jeunesse EschNational Division | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| F91 DudelangeNational Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Victoria RosportNational Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC Differdange 03National Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Swift HesperangeNational Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| F91 DudelangeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from US Rumelange’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
US Mondorf-les-bains recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kischpelt WilwerwiltzCup | Away | 10–1 | Won | |
| Résidence WalferdangeNational Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UNA StrassenNational Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atert BissenNational Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Progres NiederkornNational Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AS Jeunesse EschNational Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| F91 DudelangeNational Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Victoria RosportNational Division | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC Differdange 03National Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dinamo TbilisiUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from US Mondorf-les-bains’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
US Mondorf-les-bains are ranked 3 in BGL League, with 18 points from 8 games.
US Rumelange are ranked 12 in BGL League, with 6 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Differdange 03 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Progres Niederkorn | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | F91 Dudelange | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | US Rumelange | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 6 |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 5 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.