Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Group A - 5
CeloricensevsVila Meã
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Celoricense vs Vila Meã: match review and analysis
Celoricense vs Vila Meã in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Celoricense recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Vila Meã recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Celoricense | Vila Meã |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Celoricense: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vila Meã: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Celoricense recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BragançaTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Chaves IICampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TirsenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PevidemTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maria da FonteCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MontalegreCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CamachaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MachicoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BritoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AR São MartinhoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Celoricense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vila Meã recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VinhaisCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| RebordosaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Maia LidadorTaça de Portugal | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Os LimianosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ponte da BarcaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AnadiaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vila RealCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GouveiaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RebordosaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| União LamasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vila Meã’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vila Meã are ranked 6 in II Divisao: Group A, with 7 points from 4 games.
Celoricense are ranked 7 in II Divisao: Group A, with 7 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | SC Braga B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Os Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brito | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.