Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Group A - 5
Ponte da BarcavsRebordosa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 9 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa: match review and analysis
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ponte da Barca recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Rebordosa recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ponte da Barca | Rebordosa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ponte da Barca: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rebordosa: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
Ponte da Barca recent form
0.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. 5 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AmaranteTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BragançaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Os LimianosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MontalegreTaça de Portugal | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Maia LidadorCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vila MeãCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MerelinenseTaça de Portugal | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EstarrejaTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MontalegreTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ponte da Barca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rebordosa recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Os LimianosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vila MeãCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlpendoradaTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chaves IICampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TirsenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VianenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BragançaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VianenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rebordosa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rebordosa are ranked 9 in II Divisao: Group A, with 4 points from 4 games.
Ponte da Barca are ranked 11 in II Divisao: Group A, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | SC Braga B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Os Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brito | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.