Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 5
Castro DairevsSalgueiros
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros: match review and analysis
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Castro Daire recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Salgueiros recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Castro Daire | Salgueiros |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Castro Daire: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Salgueiros: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Castro Daire recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela CalhetaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PortimonenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Beira-MarCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SousenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| OvarenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AnadiaTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ResendeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Beira-MarCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Castro Daire’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Salgueiros recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeirenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CinfãesCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MachicoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SousenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SanjoanenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CamachaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| União LamasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlpendoradaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CinfãesCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FlorgradeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Salgueiros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Castro Daire are ranked 4 in II Divisao: Group B, with 7 points from 4 games.
Salgueiros are ranked 6 in II Divisao: Group B, with 6 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cinfães | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | União Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.