Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 5
OvarensevsBeira-Mar
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 9 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ovarense vs Beira-Mar: match review and analysis
Ovarense vs Beira-Mar in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ovarense recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Beira-Mar recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ovarense | Beira-Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ovarense: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Beira-Mar: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
Ovarense recent form
2.11 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. 7 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Os MarialvasTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Estrela CalhetaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| SousenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| União LamasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Castro DaireCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SC CovilhaTaça de Portugal | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SC CeloricenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| São João VerTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Oriental DragonTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ovarense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Beira-Mar recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Os BelenensesTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Castro DaireCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CinfãesCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| União LamasTaça de Portugal | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MachicoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SanjoanenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TondelaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GouveiaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| União LamasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AlpendoradaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Beira-Mar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ovarense are ranked 1 in II Divisao: Group B, with 12 points from 4 games.
Beira-Mar are ranked 10 in II Divisao: Group B, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cinfães | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | União Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.