Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Group D - 5
AmoravsLagoa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
- Venue
- Medideira Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Amora vs Lagoa: match review and analysis
Amora vs Lagoa in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Amora recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Lagoa recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Amora | Lagoa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Amora: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lagoa: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Amora recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LajenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UD da SerraTaça de Portugal | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| 1º DezembroCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RealCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vitoria SetubalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SC CovilhaLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 1º DezembroLiga 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CaldasLiga 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético CPLiga 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Amora’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lagoa recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CPTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FC SerpaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa Clara BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Imortal AlbufeiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AljustrelenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlcochetenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Portimonense BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Oriental LisboaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atlético MalveiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC Alverca IICampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lagoa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.