Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Group D - 5
FC SerpavsSintrense
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Serpa vs Sintrense: match review and analysis
FC Serpa vs Sintrense in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
FC Serpa recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Sintrense recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Serpa | Sintrense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Serpa: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sintrense: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Serpa recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LouletanoTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LagoaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| 1º DezembroCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| O GrandolenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vitoria SetubalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Oriental LisboaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC Alverca IICampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| O ElvasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Juventude ÉvoraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Serpa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sintrense recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVSTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Santa Clara BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Imortal AlbufeiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CaldasTaça de Portugal | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AljustrelenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PortelCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Benfica BFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Portimonense BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlético MalveiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vasco da Gama VidigueiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sintrense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.