Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Group D - 5
Vitoria SetubalvsReal
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Vitoria Setubal vs Real: match review and analysis
Vitoria Setubal vs Real in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Vitoria Setubal recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Real recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 29 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Vitoria Setubal | Real |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Vitoria Setubal: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real: (3.38 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Vitoria Setubal recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlcainsTaça de Portugal | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventude ÉvoraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LajenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AmoraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC SerpaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AmaranteCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LusitâniaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MoncarapachenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| União SantarémCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LusitâniaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Vitoria Setubal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EC Novo HorizonteGaúcho - 3 | Away | 9–0 | Won | |
| Santa Clara BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FarroupilhaGaúcho - 3 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| FC SerpaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cruz A.Gaúcho - 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AcademicaTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LajenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 5–5 | Draw | |
| FBC Riograndense RSGaúcho - 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AmoraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Futebol Com VidaGaúcho - 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.