Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Police XIvsExtension Gunners
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Police XI vs Extension Gunners: match review and analysis
Police XI vs Extension Gunners in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Police XI recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Extension Gunners recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Police XI | Extension Gunners |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Police XI: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Extension Gunners: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 0.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Police XI recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MatebelePremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Township RollersPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GalaxyPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Police XI’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Extension Gunners recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Township RollersPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nico UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CalendarPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TAFICPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Extension Gunners’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Police XI are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 7 points from 3 games.
Extension Gunners are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 6 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Police XI | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Gaborone United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Nico United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | TAFIC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Extension Gunners | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Enesia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Township Rollers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | BDF XI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Orapa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Matebele | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Prisons XI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.