Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
Safa BakuvsTuran
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- ASK Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Safa Baku vs Turan: match review and analysis
Safa Baku vs Turan in Premyer Liqa on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Safa Baku recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Turan recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Safa Baku | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Safa Baku: (0.35 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Turan: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Safa Baku recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ŞimalBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Safa Baku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Turan recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FenerbahçeFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KapazPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KarvanPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Turan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premyer Liqa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Turan are ranked 4 in Premyer Liqasi, with 11 points from 6 games.
Safa Baku are ranked 10 in Premyer Liqasi, with 3 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.