Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
ArosavsBergantiños
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Arosa vs Bergantiños: match review and analysis
Arosa vs Bergantiños in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Arosa recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Bergantiños recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Arosa | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Arosa: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bergantiños: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 2.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Arosa recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo Alavés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| BasconiaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AmorebietaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PontevedraFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CeltigaTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| CambadosTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| BoiroTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BarcoTercera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Arosa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bergantiños recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PortugaleteSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| UD Santa MartaCopa Federacion | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AmorebietaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LeioaCopa Federacion | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SámanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| UD OurenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Real Oviedo IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bergantiños’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bergantiños are ranked 1 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 13 points from 5 games.
Arosa are ranked 17 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Eibar II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sestao River | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Ourense CF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gernika | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Basconia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amorebieta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Arosa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.