Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 6
Ucam MurciavsAlcoyano
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- Estadio de La Condomina
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ucam Murcia vs Alcoyano: match review and analysis
Ucam Murcia vs Alcoyano in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Ucam Murcia recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Alcoyano recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 10 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ucam Murcia | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ucam Murcia: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alcoyano: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ucam Murcia recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético BalearesSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Valencia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CastellonenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real JaénSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| La Unión AtléticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Málaga IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ucam Murcia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alcoyano recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PoblenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Castellón IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CiezaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HérculesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| La NucíaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PorreresSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alcoyano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alcoyano are ranked 4 in Group 3, with 10 points from 5 games.
Ucam Murcia are ranked 5 in Group 3, with 9 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.