Primera División · Regular Season - 24
Everton de VinavsD. La Serena
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Sausalito
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena: match review and analysis
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena in Primera División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Everton de Vina recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 12. D. La Serena recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Everton de Vina | D. La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Everton de Vina: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
D. La Serena: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Everton de Vina recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de ChileCopa Chile | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Universidad de ChileCopa Chile | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NublensePrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| U. CatolicaPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportes LimachePrimera División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| A. ItalianoPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HuachipatoPrimera División | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Colo ColoPrimera División | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Union La CaleraPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Everton de Vina’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
D. La Serena recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de ChilePrimera División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NublensePrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union La CaleraPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CobresalPrimera División | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Coquimbo UnidoPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| O'HigginsPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| U. CatolicaPrimera División | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| CobreloaCopa Chile | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AntofagastaCopa Chile | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from D. La Serena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Everton de Vina are ranked 4 in Primera División, with 36 points from 23 games.
D. La Serena are ranked 9 in Primera División, with 30 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.