Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 6
Mijas Las LagunasvsSevilla Atletico
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Sevilla Atletico: match review and analysis
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Sevilla Atletico in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mijas Las Lagunas recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 15. Sevilla Atletico recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mijas Las Lagunas | Sevilla Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mijas Las Lagunas: (2.53 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sevilla Atletico: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mijas Las Lagunas recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TamaraceiteSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ciudad de LucenaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Puente GenilSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Xerez DeportivoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Huétor VegaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Huétor TájarTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| UD Melilla IITercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mijas Las Lagunas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sevilla Atletico recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BadajozSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlético CentralSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| TamaraceiteSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| EldensePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sevilla Atletico’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sevilla Atletico are ranked 6 in Group 4, with 8 points from 5 games.
Mijas Las Lagunas are ranked 10 in Group 4, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.