Primera Premier · Regular Season - 7
H2O PurepechasvsLobos ULMX
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 5 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Premier
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
H2O Purepechas vs Lobos ULMX: match review and analysis
H2O Purepechas vs Lobos ULMX in Primera Premier on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
H2O Purepechas recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 1 and conceding 7. Lobos ULMX recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | H2O Purepechas | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 1 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
H2O Purepechas: (0.20 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lobos ULMX: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
H2O Purepechas recent form
0.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 2 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres de AlicaPrimera Premier | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Los Cabos UnitedPrimera Premier | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zacatepec 1948Primera Premier | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Reboceros La PiedadPrimera Premier | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CordobésPrimera Premier | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from H2O Purepechas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lobos ULMX recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons VallartaPrimera Premier | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| IrapuatoPrimera Premier | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tigres de AlicaPrimera Premier | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Los Cabos UnitedPrimera Premier | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zacatepec 1948Primera Premier | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ZitacuaroLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico HidalgoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CordobésLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo ZapLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lobos ULMX’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Premier — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lobos ULMX are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 5 games.
H2O Purepechas are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Reboceros La Piedad | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.