Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2
Universidad CatolicavsMacara
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
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Real Scored match analysis
Universidad Catolica vs Macara: match review and analysis
Universidad Catolica vs Macara in Liga Pro on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Universidad Catolica recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Macara recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Universidad Catolica | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Universidad Catolica: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Macara: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Universidad Catolica recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de QuitoLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Astillero FC (Ecu)Copa Ecuador | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Delfin SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AucasLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| MacaraLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CuniburoCopa Ecuador | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Universidad Catolica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Macara recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AucasLiga Pro | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| EmelecLiga Pro | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Macara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Universidad Catolica are ranked 2 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 51 points from 30 games.
Macara are ranked 3 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 51 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 |
Macara are ranked 2 in Liga Pro: Championship Group, with 54 points from 31 games.
Universidad Catolica are ranked 3 in Liga Pro: Championship Group, with 51 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Emelec | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 39 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.