Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 7
Rayo MajadahondavsReal Murcia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- Estadio Cerro del Espino
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia: match review and analysis
Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Murcia in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Rayo Majadahonda recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Real Murcia recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rayo Majadahonda | Real Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rayo Majadahonda: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Murcia: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rayo Majadahonda recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Europa FcPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcorconFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rayo Majadahonda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Murcia recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| NavalcarneroCopa Federacion | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Europa FcPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OrihuelaCopa Federacion | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| MensajeroCopa Federacion | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlbaceteFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Murcia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Murcia are ranked 4 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 12 points from 6 games.
Rayo Majadahonda are ranked 17 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.