Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 6
EsteponavsAtlético Central
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Estepona vs Atlético Central: match review and analysis
Estepona vs Atlético Central in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Estepona recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Atlético Central recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Estepona | Atlético Central |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Estepona: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlético Central: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Estepona recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Puente GenilSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ÁguilasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Estepona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Central recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sevilla AtleticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CaudalTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CaudalTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dos HermanasTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dos HermanasTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atlético Central’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Estepona are ranked 8 in Group 4, with 7 points from 5 games.
Atlético Central are ranked 12 in Group 4, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.