Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 7
União de LeiriavsAcademica
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda Liga
- Venue
- Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
União de Leiria vs Academica: match review and analysis
União de Leiria vs Academica in Segunda Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
União de Leiria recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Academica recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | União de Leiria | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
União de Leiria: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Academica: (1.86 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
União de Leiria recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O ElvasTaça de Portugal | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AmaranteSegunda Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PortimonenseSegunda Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TondelaSegunda Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LeixoesSegunda Liga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Benfica BSegunda Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VizelaSegunda Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AD Marco 09Friendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AlvercaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from União de Leiria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Academica recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealTaça de Portugal | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Benfica BSegunda Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PenafielSegunda Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Lusitânia LourosaSegunda Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TondelaSegunda Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FeirenseSegunda Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChavesSegunda Liga | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| CaldasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| União SantarémFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC Porto BFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Academica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
União de Leiria are ranked 7 in Division2, with 10 points from 6 games.
Academica are ranked 9 in Division2, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | União de Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.