Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Zamalek SCvsAl Ahly
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Cairo International Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly: match review and analysis
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Zamalek SC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Al Ahly recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 23 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zamalek SC | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zamalek SC: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Ahly: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zamalek SC recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MasrLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ghazl El MehallaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PortCAF Champions League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Abu Qair SemadPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PortCAF Champions League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PetrojetPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| National Bank of EgyptPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Al IttihadPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ceramica CleopatraPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| USM AlgerCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Zamalek SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Ahly recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut PetrolLeague Cup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Abu Qair SemadPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| El MokawloonPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Smouha SCPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MasrPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnppiPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AL MasryPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnppiPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Zamalek SCPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Ahly’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zamalek SC are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 13 points from 5 games.
Al Ahly are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 13 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Zamalek SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Future FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Masr | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | AL Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank of Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.