3. Liga · Regular Season - 8
Fortuna DüsseldorfvsVerl
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Liga
- Venue
- Merkur Spielarena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: match review and analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl in 3. Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Fortuna Düsseldorf recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Verl recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fortuna Düsseldorf: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Verl: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen3. Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MSV Duisburg3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortuna Köln3. Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stuttgart II3. Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SC FreiburgDFB Pokal | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Hoffenheim II3. Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Borussia DortmundFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lask LinzFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fortuna Düsseldorf’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Verl recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Würzburger Kickers3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SV Meppen3. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fortuna Köln3. Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hamburger SVDFB Pokal | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MSV Duisburg3. Liga | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Alemannia Aachen3. Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Verl’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fortuna Düsseldorf are ranked 10 in 3 Liga, with 10 points from 7 games.
Verl are ranked 11 in 3 Liga, with 10 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.