Serie B · Regular Season - 6
ModenavsHellas Verona
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Alberto Braglia
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Modena vs Hellas Verona: match review and analysis
Modena vs Hellas Verona in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Modena recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Hellas Verona recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Modena | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Modena: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hellas Verona: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Modena recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EmpoliSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SudtirolSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AvellinoSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CremoneseSerie B | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| BeneventoSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VeneziaCoppa Italia | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Vis PesaroFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TrentoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CagliariFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Virtus BolzanoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Modena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hellas Verona recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC LuganoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vicenza VirtusSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BeneventoSerie B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ArezzoSerie B | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CagliariCoppa Italia | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PadovaSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AscoliSerie B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Virtus EntellaCoppa Italia | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeccoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dolomiti BellunesiFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hellas Verona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Modena are ranked 6 in Serie B, with 10 points from 5 games.
Hellas Verona are ranked 9 in Serie B, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.