Primera División · Clausura - 11
UTC CajamarcavsSporting Cristal
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Héroes de San Ramón
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal: match review and analysis
UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal in Primera División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
UTC Cajamarca recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Sporting Cristal recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 26 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UTC Cajamarca | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UTC Cajamarca: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sporting Cristal: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 2.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UTC Cajamarca recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport HuancayoPrimera División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| UniversitarioPrimera División | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Alianza AtleticoCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Alianza LimaPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ADTPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CuscoPrimera División | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| UCV MoqueguaPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from UTC Cajamarca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Cristal recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADTCopa De La Liga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| ADTCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico GrauPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| UCV MoqueguaPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Sport BoysPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sport HuancayoCopa De La Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sport HuancayoPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| UniversitarioPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sporting Cristal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sporting Cristal are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 38 points from 27 games.
UTC Cajamarca are ranked 18 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 15 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | ADT | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 15 |
Sporting Cristal are ranked 12 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 19 points from 17 games.
UTC Cajamarca are ranked 13 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 18 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 |
Sporting Cristal are ranked 3 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 19 points from 10 games.
UTC Cajamarca are ranked 18 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 2 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | ADT | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.