Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 8
Santa Cruz RJvsBarra Mansa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca B2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Santa Cruz RJ vs Barra Mansa: match review and analysis
Santa Cruz RJ vs Barra Mansa in Carioca B2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Santa Cruz RJ recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Barra Mansa recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 6 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Santa Cruz RJ | Barra Mansa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Santa Cruz RJ: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Barra Mansa: (0.60 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Cruz RJ recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra MacaenseCarioca B2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rio de JaneiroCarioca B2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PaduanoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Pérolas NegrasCopa Rio | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Pérolas NegrasCopa Rio | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Santa Cruz RJ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Barra Mansa recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rio de JaneiroCarioca B2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PaduanoCarioca B2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FriburguenseCarioca B2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Campos AACarioca B2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BúziosCarioca C | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BúziosCarioca C | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Uni SouzaCarioca C | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Barra Mansa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca B2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Santa Cruz RJ are ranked 5 in Carioca B2, with 12 points from 7 games.
Barra Mansa are ranked 10 in Carioca B2, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | SE Belford Roxo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Paduano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.