Gaúcho - 3 · Regular Season - 7
EC Novo HorizontevsCruz A.
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 9 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gaúcho - 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
EC Novo Horizonte vs Cruz A.: match review and analysis
EC Novo Horizonte vs Cruz A. in Gaúcho - 3 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
EC Novo Horizonte recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 29. Cruz A. recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 7 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | EC Novo Horizonte | Cruz A. |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 6 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
EC Novo Horizonte: (0.41 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cruz A.: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 3.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
EC Novo Horizonte recent form
0.44 goals scored and 3.22 conceded per game. 8 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealGaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–9 | Lost | |
| Clube 1992Gaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SC Rio GrandeGaúcho - 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PanambiGaúcho - 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ApafutGaúcho - 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nova PrataGaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Clube 1992Gaúcho - 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ApafutGaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guarani RSGaúcho - 3 | Away | 0–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from EC Novo Horizonte’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 6 GAMES
Cruz A. recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. 5 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Futebol Com VidaGaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SC Rio GrandeGaúcho - 3 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| FarroupilhaGaúcho - 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RealGaúcho - 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Clube 1992Gaúcho - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| São Paulo RSGaúcho - 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cruz A.’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gaúcho - 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cruz A. are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 6 games.
EC Novo Horizonte are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panambi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Real | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 13 |
| 3 | São Paulo RS | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Futebol Com Vida | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cruz A. | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | FBC Riograndense RS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Farroupilha | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | EC Novo Horizonte | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.