Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 33
CA EstudiantesvsDeportivo Moron
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron: match review and analysis
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron in Primera Nacional on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
CA Estudiantes recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Deportivo Moron recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CA Estudiantes: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Moron: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CA Estudiantes recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa FePrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San MiguelPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San TelmoPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AcassusoPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chaco For EverPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Central NortePrimera Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo MadrynPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Defensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from CA Estudiantes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Moron recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All BoysPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Los AndesPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Godoy CruzPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing CordobaPrimera Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Colon Santa FePrimera Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| San MiguelPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Central NortePrimera Nacional | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San TelmoPrimera Nacional | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AlmagroPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AcassusoPrimera Nacional | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Moron’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Nacional — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Moron are ranked 2 in Group 1, with 58 points from 32 games.
CA Estudiantes are ranked 7 in Group 1, with 45 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 29 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.