Segunda División · Relegation Group - 8
Santiago MorningvsReal San Joaquín
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Santiago Morning vs Real San Joaquín: match review and analysis
Santiago Morning vs Real San Joaquín in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Santiago Morning recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Real San Joaquín recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Santiago Morning | Real San Joaquín |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Santiago Morning: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 1.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real San Joaquín: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Santiago Morning recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Provincial OvalleSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Linares UnidoSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Santiago Morning’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real San Joaquín recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportes RengoSegunda División | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Provincial OvalleSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Municipal SalamancaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Provincial OvalleSegunda División | Away | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real San Joaquín’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real San Joaquín are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 12 games.
Santiago Morning are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.