Nacional B · Round of 16
Unión TarijavsIndependiente CBBA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Nacional B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Unión Tarija vs Independiente CBBA: match review and analysis
Unión Tarija vs Independiente CBBA in Nacional B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Unión Tarija recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Independiente CBBA recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 12 scored and 6 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | Unión Tarija | Independiente CBBA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 6 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Unión Tarija: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Independiente CBBA: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Unión Tarija recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD GuadalajaraNacional B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ciudad Nueva Santa CruzNacional B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Ciudad Nueva Santa CruzNacional B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CD GuadalajaraNacional B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IngenierosNacional B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CD GuadalajaraNacional B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Primero MayoNacional B | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Unión Tarija’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 6 GAMES
Independiente CBBA recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico JuniorsNacional B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Wilstermann CooperativaNacional B | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mineros PotosiNacional B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Wilstermann CooperativaNacional B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mineros PotosiNacional B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico JuniorsNacional B | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Independiente CBBA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Nacional B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Independiente CBBA are ranked 1 in Nacional B, with 15 points from 6 games.
Unión Tarija are ranked 3 in Nacional B, with 9 points from 6 games.
Unión Tarija are ranked 3 in Nacional B, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Huanuni | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
| 1 | 26 de Febrero | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 1 | Independiente CBBA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 1 | Virginia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
| 1 | CD IN San Juan FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 1 | Primero Mayo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 1 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo FATIC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Chaco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Mineros Potosi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 2 | Municipal Tiquipaya | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tigres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 3 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Ingenieros | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico Juniors | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Beni | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Tarija | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 4 | CD Guadalajara | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 4 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.