Serie B · Regular Season - 33
Atletico GoianiensevsSport Recife
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Estadio Antonio Accioly
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: match review and analysis
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atletico Goianiense recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Sport Recife recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atletico Goianiense: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sport Recife: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Goianiense recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRBSerie B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GoiasSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| São BernardoSerie B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CriciumaSerie B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| CearaSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| JuventudeSerie B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AvaiSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botafogo SPSerie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LondrinaSerie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atletico Goianiense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sport Recife recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São BernardoSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JuventudeSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CRBSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ponte PretaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CearaSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AvaiSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sport Recife’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atletico Goianiense are ranked 6 in Serie B, with 52 points from 32 games.
Sport Recife are ranked 8 in Serie B, with 50 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | -51 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.