Segunda División · Regular Season - 34
Atletico el Vigia FCvsUrena SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Urena SC: match review and analysis
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Urena SC in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atletico el Vigia FC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Urena SC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atletico el Vigia FC | Urena SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atletico el Vigia FC: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Urena SC: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico el Vigia FC recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real FronteraCopa Venezuela | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club Atletico BarinasCopa Venezuela | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Urena SCSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atletico el Vigia FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Urena SC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rayo ZulianoCopa Venezuela | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico el Vigia FCSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Urena SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Urena SC are ranked 4 in Segunda División, with 46 points from 29 games.
Atletico el Vigia FC are ranked 6 in Segunda División, with 40 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 63 |
| 2 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora FC B | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello II | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Club Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 12 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Petare FC | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | Aragua FC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros de Guyana | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila FC | 23 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.