Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Rosario CentralvsIndepend. Rivadavia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: match review and analysis
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia in Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Rosario Central recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Independ. Rivadavia recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rosario Central | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rosario Central: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Independ. Rivadavia: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rosario Central recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Super Copa International | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rosario Central’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Independ. Rivadavia recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico TucumanCopa Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AldosiviCopa Argentina | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Independ. Rivadavia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Independ. Rivadavia are ranked 1 in Apertura - Group B, with 34 points from 16 games.
Rosario Central are ranked 4 in Apertura - Group B, with 28 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
Rosario Central are ranked 4 in Clausura - Group B, with 19 points from 11 games.
Independ. Rivadavia are ranked 7 in Clausura - Group B, with 18 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.