Segunda División · Promotion Group - 3
ComerciantesvsDeportiva Agropecuaria
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Estadio Max Augustin
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Comerciantes vs Deportiva Agropecuaria: match review and analysis
Comerciantes vs Deportiva Agropecuaria in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Comerciantes recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Deportiva Agropecuaria recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Comerciantes | Deportiva Agropecuaria |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Comerciantes: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportiva Agropecuaria: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Comerciantes recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo LlacuabambaSegunda División | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ayacucho FCSegunda División | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo BinacionalSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MinasSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Estudiantil CNISegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bentín Tacna HeroicaSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SantosSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alianza UniversidadSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Comerciantes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportiva Agropecuaria recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo LlacuabambaSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union ComercioSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cesar VallejoSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| U. San MartinSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LlacuabambaSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Carlos A. MannucciSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Molinos El PirataSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Academia CantolaoSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UTC CajamarcaCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportiva Agropecuaria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportiva Agropecuaria are ranked 6 in Segunda División, with 21 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 44 | -43 | 0 |
Comerciantes are ranked 2 in Segunda División, with 26 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 49 | -39 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.