Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2
LDU de QuitovsBarcelona SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro
- Venue
- Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC: match review and analysis
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC in Liga Pro on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Barcelona SC recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | LDU de Quito | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
LDU de Quito: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Barcelona SC: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
LDU de Quito recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AucasCopa Ecuador | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EmelecLiga Pro | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from LDU de Quito’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Barcelona SC recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SCLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AucasLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MacaraLiga Pro | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LDU PortoviejoCopa Ecuador | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Leones del NorteLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LDU de QuitoLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Barcelona SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
LDU de Quito are ranked 5 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 46 points from 30 games.
Barcelona SC are ranked 6 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 44 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 |
LDU de Quito are ranked 5 in Liga Pro: Championship Group, with 49 points from 31 games.
Barcelona SC are ranked 6 in Liga Pro: Championship Group, with 44 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Emelec | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 39 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.