Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28
St. Louis CityvsLos Angeles Galaxy
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Citypark
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy: match review and analysis
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy in Major League Soccer on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
St. Louis City recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 12. Los Angeles Galaxy recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | St. Louis City | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
St. Louis City: (2.85 weighted goals scored + 1.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Los Angeles Galaxy: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Louis City recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Colorado RapidsUS Open Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from St. Louis City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Los Angeles Galaxy recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CF MontrealMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Los Angeles Galaxy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
St. Louis City are ranked 2 in Western Conference, with 47 points from 27 games.
Los Angeles Galaxy are ranked 9 in Western Conference, with 36 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 21 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.