Indian Super League · Regular Season - 1
FULL-TIME
NorthEast United1–0ATK Mohun Bagan
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Indian Super League
- Venue
- Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan: match review and analysis
NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan in Indian Super League on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
NorthEast United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 18. ATK Mohun Bagan recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 16 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | NorthEast United | ATK Mohun Bagan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
NorthEast United: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
ATK Mohun Bagan: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
NorthEast United recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal IIIFA Shield | Away | 2–7 | Lost | |
| ATK Mohun BaganIFA Shield | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sreenidi DeccanIFA Shield | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| MohammedanIndian Super League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ChennaiyinIndian Super League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| GoaIndian Super League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ATK Mohun BaganIndian Super League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kerala BlastersIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SC DelhiIndian Super League | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from NorthEast United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
ATK Mohun Bagan recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal IIIFA Shield | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minerva PunjabIFA Shield | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NorthEast UnitedIFA Shield | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sreenidi DeccanIFA Shield | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| SC DelhiIndian Super League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| East Bengal IIIndian Super League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GoaIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthEast UnitedIndian Super League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minerva PunjabIndian Super League | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from ATK Mohun Bagan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Indian Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
ATK Mohun Bagan are ranked 2 in Super league, with 26 points from 13 games.
NorthEast United are ranked 9 in Super league, with 16 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Bengal II | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 26 |
| 2 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Mumbai City | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Bengaluru | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Jamshedpur | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Minerva Punjab | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Goa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kerala Blasters | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | NorthEast United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Inter Kashi | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Odisha | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | SC Delhi | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Chennaiyin | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 14 | Mohammedan | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 32 | -25 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.