Serie B · Regular Season - 33
FULL-TIME
Botafogo SP1–0Ceara
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Estadio Santa Cruz
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Botafogo SP vs Ceara: match review and analysis
Botafogo SP vs Ceara in Serie B on 13 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Botafogo SP recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Ceara recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Botafogo SP | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Botafogo SP: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ceara: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Botafogo SP recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PRSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vila NovaSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ponte PretaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GoiasSerie B | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CuiabaSerie B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico GoianienseSerie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CriciumaSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Botafogo SP’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ceara recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CriciumaSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AvaiSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Operario-PRSerie B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortaleza ECSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico GoianienseSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sport RecifeSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vila NovaSerie B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LondrinaSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ceara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ceara are ranked 14 in Serie B, with 42 points from 33 games.
Botafogo SP are ranked 16 in Serie B, with 41 points from 33 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 61 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 46 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 54 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 73 | -55 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.