AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 2
FULL-TIME
Newcastle Jets1–3Gamba Osaka
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AFC Champions League Elite
- Venue
- McDonald Jones Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka: match review and analysis
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka in AFC Champions League Elite on 13 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Newcastle Jets recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 21. Gamba Osaka recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Newcastle Jets | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Newcastle Jets: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gamba Osaka: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Newcastle Jets recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KashimaAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Preston LionsAustralia Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SydneyA-League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SydneyA-League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Central Coast MarinersA-League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Melbourne VictoryA-League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Adelaide UnitedA-League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MacarthurA-League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SydneyA-League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AucklandA-League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Newcastle Jets’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gamba Osaka recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KashimaJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ-League Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Tokushima VortisEmperor Cup | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Công An Nhân DânAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Biwako ShigaEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gamba Osaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AFC Champions League Elite — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Gamba Osaka are ranked 2 in East Region, with 6 points from 2 games.
Newcastle Jets are ranked 16 in East Region, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.