Pro League A · Regular Season - 22
Pakhtakor IIvsAral
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Pakhtakor II vs Aral: match review and analysis
Pakhtakor II vs Aral in Pro League A on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Pakhtakor II recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 24. Aral recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pakhtakor II | Aral |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pakhtakor II: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aral: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pakhtakor II recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GazalkentPro League A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ShortanPro League A | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| JayxunPro League A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QiziriqPro League A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| YaypanPro League A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LochinPro League A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| KattaqurgonPro League A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpik-MobiuzPro League A | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pakhtakor II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aral recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YaypanPro League A | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| LochinPro League A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FarDuPro League A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KattaqurgonPro League A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olimpik-MobiuzPro League A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BuxDuPro League A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Respublika FAPro League A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MetalourgPro League A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GazalkentPro League A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ShortanPro League A | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Aral’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aral are ranked 1 in Pro League A, with 52 points from 21 games.
Pakhtakor II are ranked 12 in Pro League A, with 10 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Shortan | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
| 3 | Metalourg | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 16 | 33 | 43 |
| 4 | FarDu | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 | Gazalkent | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | Lochin | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Kattaqurgon | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Olimpik-Mobiuz | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 32 |
| 9 | Respublika FA | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Jayxun | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Yaypan | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
| 12 | Pakhtakor II | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 10 |
| 13 | BuxDu | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 54 | -36 | 10 |
| 14 | Qiziriq | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 54 | -42 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.