Premier League · Regular Season - 6
LugazivsBUL
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Lugazi FC Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Lugazi vs BUL: match review and analysis
Lugazi vs BUL in Premier League on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Lugazi recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 11. BUL recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lugazi | BUL |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lugazi: (0.55 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
BUL: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lugazi recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PolicePremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NECPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kigezi HomeBoyzPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BULPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Buhimba SaintsPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Lugazi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
BUL recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NtugasazePremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| KatakaPremier League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| KitaraPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LugaziPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from BUL’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
BUL are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 4 games.
Lugazi are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Vipers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | KCCA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.