Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 7
FULL-TIME
Fajr Sepasi2–1Aluminium Arak
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League
- Venue
- Hafezieh Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak: match review and analysis
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak in Persian Gulf Pro League on 13 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Fajr Sepasi recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Aluminium Arak recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses, with 11 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fajr Sepasi | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fajr Sepasi: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aluminium Arak: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fajr Sepasi recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fajr Sepasi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aluminium Arak recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Aluminium Arak’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persian Gulf Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Aluminium Arak are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 13 points from 8 games.
Fajr Sepasi are ranked 8 in Premier League, with 10 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Foolad FC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Paykan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Malavan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.