Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 31
LaagrivsNõmme United
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Meistriliiga
- Venue
- Laagri kunstmurustaadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Laagri vs Nõmme United: match review and analysis
Laagri vs Nõmme United in Meistriliiga on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Laagri recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Nõmme United recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 12 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Laagri | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Laagri: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 2.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nõmme United: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Laagri recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC TallinnCup | Away | 10–0 | Won | |
| KuressaareMeistriliiga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TamperCup | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Laagri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nõmme United recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VaprusCup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| HiiumaaCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nõmme United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Meistriliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Laagri are ranked 6 in Meistriliiga, with 38 points from 30 games.
Nõmme United are ranked 9 in Meistriliiga, with 28 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Laagri | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 35 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 30 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 72 | -25 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 67 | -43 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.