Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 8
SimbavsMashujaa
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligi kuu Bara
- Venue
- Isamuhyo Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Simba vs Mashujaa: match review and analysis
Simba vs Mashujaa in Ligi kuu Bara on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Simba recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 5. Mashujaa recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Simba | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Simba: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mashujaa: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Simba recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AzamLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Be Forward WanderersCAF Champions League | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Be Forward WanderersCAF Champions League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Geita GoldLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pamba JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kagera SugarLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Singida Black StarsCECAFA Club Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Simba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mashujaa recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kagera SugarLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mbeya CityLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KMCLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mashujaa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligi kuu Bara — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Simba are ranked 1 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 21 points from 7 games.
Mashujaa are ranked 4 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 12 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.