Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · Round of 16
South Africa WvsMadagascar W
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 3 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Olympics Women - Qualification CAF
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
South Africa W vs Madagascar W: match review and analysis
South Africa W vs Madagascar W in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
South Africa W recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Madagascar W recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 2 scored and 5 conceded across 3 games.
| Statistic | South Africa W | Madagascar W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 2 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
South Africa W: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Madagascar W: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
South Africa W recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar WOlympics Women - Qualification CAF | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Nigeria WAfrica Cup of Nations - Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Morocco WAfrica Cup of Nations - Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Burkina Faso WAfrica Cup of Nations - Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ivory Coast WAfrica Cup of Nations - Women | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tanzania WAfrica Cup of Nations - Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Japan WFriendlies Women | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Algeria WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Algeria WFriendlies Women | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from South Africa W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 3 GAMES
Madagascar W recent form
0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. 2 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa WOlympics Women - Qualification CAF | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| South Sudan WOlympics Women - Qualification CAF | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| South Sudan WOlympics Women - Qualification CAF | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Madagascar W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Olympics Women - Qualification CAF — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.