Regionalliga - Bayern · Bayern - 14
AubstadtvsIllertissen
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Bayern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Aubstadt vs Illertissen: match review and analysis
Aubstadt vs Illertissen in Regionalliga - Bayern on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Aubstadt recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Illertissen recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aubstadt | Illertissen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aubstadt: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Illertissen: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aubstadt recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LandsbergRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Augsburg IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bayern München IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AnsbachRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EichstättRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TSV 1860 MünchenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BuchbachRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aubstadt’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Illertissen recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 MünchenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VilzingRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MemmingenRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC Schweinfurt 05Regionalliga - Bayern | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nürnberg IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| EltersdorfRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bayern München IIRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LandsbergRegionalliga - Bayern | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Illertissen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Bayern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Illertissen are ranked 7 in Regionalliga: Bayern, with 19 points from 12 games.
Aubstadt are ranked 18 in Regionalliga: Bayern, with 9 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | TSV 1860 München | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Eichstätt | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Bayreuth | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Illertissen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Wacker Burghausen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Nürnberg II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 16 |
| 11 | Bayern München II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Eltersdorf | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
| 13 | Augsburg II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Schwaben Augsburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.