Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 8
Richards BayvsMamelodi Sundowns
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier Soccer League
- Venue
- Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze)
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match review and analysis
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Richards Bay recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Mamelodi Sundowns recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Richards Bay | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Richards Bay: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mamelodi Sundowns: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 2.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Richards Bay recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Milford FCPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| AmazuluPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Durban CityPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Polokwane CityPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Durban CityFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MagesiPremier Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Richards Bay’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mamelodi Sundowns recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates8 Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SiwelelePremier Soccer League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Golden ArrowsPremier Soccer League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Milford FCPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Golden Arrows8 Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| AmazuluPremier Soccer League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Golden Arrows8 Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mamelodi Sundowns’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mamelodi Sundowns are ranked 1 in Premier Soccer League, with 20 points from 8 games.
Richards Bay are ranked 14 in Premier Soccer League, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Kruger United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 | Richards Bay | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Siwelele | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.