National League Cup · Group Stage
HartlepoolvsNewcastle United U21
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League Cup
- Venue
- Victoria Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21: match review and analysis
Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 in National League Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hartlepool recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Newcastle United U21 recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses, with 14 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hartlepool | Newcastle United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hartlepool: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 2.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Newcastle United U21: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hartlepool recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest GreenNational League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| TamworthNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| WorthingNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AltrinchamNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Everton U21National League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WokingNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hartlepool’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Newcastle United U21 recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town U21Premier League Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BradfordEFL Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leeds United U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| YorkEFL Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Boreham WoodNational League Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fulham U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TamworthNational League Cup | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Swansea City U21Professional Development League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Newcastle United U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.