National League Cup · Group Stage
ScunthorpevsDerby County U21
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League Cup
- Venue
- Attis Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21: match review and analysis
Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 in National League Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Scunthorpe recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Derby County U21 recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 17 scored and 32 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Scunthorpe | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 32 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Scunthorpe: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 3.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Derby County U21: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Scunthorpe recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BarrowNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sutton UtdNational League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nottingham Forest U21National League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CarlisleNational League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Scunthorpe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Derby County U21 recent form
1.70 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford U21Premier League Cup | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Burnley U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GatesheadNational League Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| West Bromwich Albion U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Reading U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League Cup | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Hull City U21Premier League Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| CarlisleFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brentford U21Professional Development League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Derby County U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.