CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finals
Results
Boca JuniorsvsVasco DA Gama
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONMEBOL Sudamericana
- Venue
- Alberto J. Armando
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama: match review and analysis
Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Boca Juniors recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Vasco DA Gama recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Boca Juniors | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Boca Juniors: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 0.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vasco DA Gama: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Boca Juniors recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Racing ClubCopa Argentina | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sao PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sao PauloCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Velez SarsfieldCopa Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LanusLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Boca Juniors’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vasco DA Gama recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RemoSerie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BotafogoSerie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CoritibaSerie A | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Santa FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GremioSerie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Santa FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FluminenseSerie A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VitoriaCopa Do Brasil | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CruzeiroSerie A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VitoriaCopa Do Brasil | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vasco DA Gama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONMEBOL Sudamericana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Caracas FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
Vasco DA Gama are ranked 2 in Group G, with 10 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 1 |
A table position is not available for every team in this match.
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.