Premier League · Regular Season - 8
FULL-TIME
Deren5–0Erchim
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Deren vs Erchim: match review and analysis
Deren vs Erchim in Premier League on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Deren recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 12. Erchim recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses, with 12 scored and 42 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deren | Erchim |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 42 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deren: (2.92 weighted goals scored + 3.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Erchim: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deren recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central StallionsPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KhovdPremier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Khovd WesternPremier League | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HuntersPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Central StallionsPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KhangaridPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Deren’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Erchim recent form
1.20 goals scored and 4.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Central StallionsPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| KhovdPremier League | Home | 2–8 | Lost | |
| Khovd WesternPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bayanzürkh SportingPremier League | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| HuntersPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FalconsPremier League | Away | 0–12 | Lost |
Scores shown from Erchim’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deren are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 17 points from 8 games.
Erchim are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 33 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 17 |
| 4 | Khovd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Hunters | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Erchim | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 31 | -26 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | -22 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.