Premier League · Regular Season - 18
IrtyshvsFC Astana
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Centralnyj Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Irtysh vs FC Astana: match review and analysis
Irtysh vs FC Astana in Premier League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Irtysh recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. FC Astana recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Irtysh | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Irtysh: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Astana: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Irtysh recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyzyl-ZharPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AltayPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OkzhetpesPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZhetysuPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AktobePremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FK Tobol KostanayPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Yelimay SemeyPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KaspiyPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| UlytauPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZhenysPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Irtysh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Astana recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol KostanayPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kairat AlmatyPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OrdabasyPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yelimay SemeyPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AtyrauPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kyzyl-ZharPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OkzhetpesPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| UlytauPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AltayPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Astana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Astana are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 45 points from 25 games.
Irtysh are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 26 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 45 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 22 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.